Tuesday, July 19, 2011 - 3:00 PM

Let's peel away the diplomatic varnish, shall we? Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's statement today in New Delhi that the U.S. and India are "allies in the fight against violent extremist networks" was essentially the announcement of an alliance against Pakistan.
Pakistan is America's ally, of course. We say it all the time. Unfortunately, Pakistan also harbors our enemies, supports our enemies, tolerates the intolerable by our enemies, and is therefore also our enemy. Not all of Pakistan, of course. Just some of the most influential of its elites and institutions as well as substantial cross-sections of its population.
Pakistan therefore has no one to blame for the steady deepening of the security ties between the United States and India than itself. As containing the problems within Pakistan through cooperation with the Pakistanis looks increasingly difficult, it is only natural that the United States should simultaneously develop a Plan B approach. That approach is containment and it necessarily must involve a partnership with India.
That India and the United States share many other interests, are the world's two leading democracies, having rapidly growing, deepening economic ties, and share cultural links associated with their past experiences within the British empire make the partnership a natural one. Differences and frustrations will exist naturally -- and some surrounding the U.S.-India nuclear power deal have surfaced during Clinton's India visit -- but there is perhaps no single major power relationship likely to undergo more positive change over the next several decades than that between Washington and New Delhi. To put it another way, this is the emerging world-developed world major power axis of cooperation to watch most closely as it is the one where the aligned interests are perhaps greatest.
The deterioration of U.S. relations with the Pakistanis coupled with the acceleration of Pakistan's development of its nuclear arsenal is only one aspect of these ties and, for Clinton, among the most delicate to handle. That's why her directness in making the statements she did is so striking, timely ... and utterly appropriate.
The recent attacks in Mumbai may not, as of yet, be linked to any groups associated with the Pakistanis, but they certainly remind of the attacks that took place in 2008 and claimed 160 lives which were the handiwork of extremist groups with close ties to some in the Pakistani intelligence services. The fact that these most recent incidents took place while the head of Pakistani intelligence services was visiting Washington was a particularly uncomfortable coincidence.
So when Clinton said that the U.S. would not accept any nation offering "safe havens and free pass" it is clear who she was talking about. It is clear that the discovery of Osama bin Laden being nurtured in the bosom of Pakistan has had a permanent impact on the relationship and that the subsequent bristling of the Pakistanis and their push back on key aspects of U.S.-Pakistani cooperation in combating terror have pushed the alliance to being, in key respects, to use the words of one U.S. government official with whom I recently spoke, "stubbornly dysfunctional."
The U.S. has had, in the past, myriad dysfunctional alliances. But you have to go back to that with the Soviets in the waning days of World War II to find one in which a leading ally was simultaneously viewed as a leading threat. While the statements in New Delhi today do not suggest that our alliance with Islamabad is finished, it does send a clear message that, as was the case with the Soviets, flawed alliances can be turned into dangerously adversarial relationships almost overnight if the sides involved do not work in good faith to resolve their differences.
I read your column. I like your column. But I constantly read things in it that make no sense. Case in point: the alleged "cultural links associated with their past experiences within the British empire."
If this is the case, then the United States, Pakistan and India would ALL have a lot in common with each other and with Kashmir, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, etc. -- and all these countries would have lots of common ground.
Which obviously is a crock.
I sometimes think Mr. Rothkopf just dashes off this crap and doesn't give a thought to whether any of it makes any sense at all.
There are actually numerous historical connections between the US and India. The simplest being Columbus believed he landed in India when he landed in the "new world". Other examples are that America's first flag (the First Continental Congress flag) is exactly the same as the British East India Company flag.
On a more symbolic level one can get into how in Hebrew "hodu" not only means "thanks" and India, and connects Thanksgiving with "thanks", "Indians", and America.
More specifically though the production of cotton and how it directly affected both India and America are of immense importance.
Perhaps solely they don't add up to the notion of close connections, but collectively my examples, and many, many other examples, do tie the two nations throughout history.
As for those who claim therefore the connection should be extended to Pakistan. Frankly, that argument works on a basic level, but you can't have your cake and eat it too. Anti-Indians always love to claim "India" when its' in their benefit, and claim "South Asian" when it isn't.
This, like most of yours, is an informative column. Except for the India/US relations because of the British Empire. Considering the US left before 1800 in a war and India peacefully left after WW II, I don't think that point really has anything whatsoever to do with this deepening alliance. It's like he looked at that sentence and thought, every sentence like this has 3 reasons, I'm gonna go for 4!, and threw an extra one in there.
Other than that, I would agree with most points. I think the two leading democracies thing is probably the closest point of approach for these two nations. Showing off that democracies work and work together to better both countries and all that. Not too mention the whole keep China looking both directions, thereby lessening the chance of a confrontation over Korea as Kim Jong Il comes closer to dieing, or Taiwan at any time. That and the other article up here about how Afghanistan is becoming India's problem as the US/ISAF pulls out. I'm sure that was brought up at closed door sessions, as in, India asking the US how they are going to help to make sure Pakistan doesn't become de facto ruler of Afghanistan.
Rothkopf offered a tortured gloss on the ancient diplomatic principle that the enemy of my enemy is my friend. Nothing new about that Nothing necessarily sinister, either.
Naïve India taken to the cleaners again
Clinton’s assertions of standing by India on the issue of externally-sponsored terrorism are no longer believable. Such declarations of empathy with India, accompanied with finger-wagging meant to scare Pakistan, have now become a routine affair. Every time terrorists bomb a city or carry out a horrible attack, the same statement is recycled along with the same ‘warning’ to Pakistan.
The real issue is about the Nuclear Suppliers Group craftily shifting the goal posts yet again to deny India uranium enrichment and reprocessing technology, which flies in the face of the ‘clean waiver’ that America had brandished as a huge concession made specially for India by the NSG at the US’s behest. In other words, after sweet talking India into agreeing to restrictive conditions and appending its signature to the civil nuclear cooperation agreement, the US has stepped aside and allowed the NSG, without even so much as a murmur of protest, to reframe the rules of the game.
Who will protect India’s interests in NSG and against US? Surely not the naïve Prime Minister Singh or foreign minister Krishna!
I don't get this: what is the innovation here?
Bush drew us closer to India, Obama has somewhat continued this. Pakistan has been playing a double game forever, the only difference is they feared Bush enough to keep it under the radar; no one, except perhaps the tens of millions of unemployed Americans, fears Obama...
While the US-Pakistan relationship seems novel now, where Pakistan is one of America's key allies and biggest threats, such relationships seem likely to increase. In a longer-term historical sense, such relationships aren't exactly rare. After the Soviet Union ceased to be an American ally in any sense, we didn't have any because the world was so polarized by the Cold War. Before the Cold War, however, alliances were rarely as clean as they were during that period. Now that the Cold War global system is unraveling, such ambiguous relationships are likely to become commonplace.
The problem is that Pakistan itself is dysfunctional, and hence it is hard to have a functional relationship with it.
For all intents and purposes, Pakistan is under total administrative control of its army, and its army in turn is under total control of the ISI (Pakistan intelligence service).
The so-called "civil Government" exists only as a facade for the western world to labor under the illusion that they dealing with a "democracy". The common people on the other hand, are under total control of the mosques and the mullahs (Islamic priests). The civil courts and laws rarely matter, other than to provide secure employment for relatives of the mullahs (priests) and the army. The army gets its legitimacy to rule by terrifying the people of the ever-present "Indian threat"; The Mosque and the priests get their legitimacy to rule by terrifying the people of the "American" and the "Jew" threat. Without the Indian, American and Jew threat, Pakistan will simply disintegrate into various nations since none of the major ethnicities of Pakistan (Punjabis, Pushtoons, Mohajirs, Sindhis and Baluchis) have any interest in the concept of "Pakistan".
Hence by its own underlying constitution, Pakistan HAS to be at war with America, India and Jews in order to survive... Which makes the prospect of a functional relationship with America (Or India), a little complicated.
On the other hand, these core principles of Pakistan (i.e. Its war with India, America and Jews) makes China its closest ally since China is the logical nemesis of America in the grander scheme of things. Which in turn brings India close to the American camp since China's key goal in Asia is to see India diminished. One rather humorous example of how these global fault lines are playing out is when China attempted to form its "String of Pearls" to militarily surround India by establishing naval bases in Pakistan, Srilanka, Bangladesh and Burma. India got alarmed and joined USA, Japan, Korea, ASEAN and Australia to form the "Ring of Freedom" around China...
Innovations in diplomacy: introducing the anti-ally alliance
Several Princely States acceded to Pakistan after Pakistan's Independence. Many Royal Families were deprived of their royal titles not long after that, many in 1969. Now this accession can be put into question. The erstwhile royal families can claim, that at the time of Independence, the Founder of Pakistan, Mohammed Ali Jinnah gave their fathers an assurance that everything would be done for the welfare and prosperity of their states and subjects. And since Pakistan has done nothing of the sort, the areas of erstwhile princely states having been totally neglected for development, the royal families of the erstwhile states have decided to leave the Union of Pakistan and to look for lexi belle outside it, as independent states, and now they consider the Instruments of Accession to Pakistan as null and void. All the heirs to the thrones of these erstwhile princely states can sign a charter that they will collectively try to regain their Independence. They consider themselves only as titular heads and after the Independence of these states, these would become constitutional monarchies. They would again only be constitutional figure-heads while the various countries would be ruled by democracy - true democracy. They will collectively try to set up their armies and win freedom from Pakistan. Now what would be the use of such a Declaration? Well for one thing it would give Pakistan and Pakistanis the impression that Pakistan is moving towards unraveling rather than towards consolidation. The momentum of unraveling needs to be kept up. Also the various "armies" that can be set up and pledge loyalty to their respective erstwhile princely states, can be useful fifth column in Pakistan for India and others. These armies can be adopted by India, and even others, and thus facilitating an external hand in the events on the ground. These armies can be then replenished with weapons, etc. by India or even by other countries.
David Rothkopf is the CEO and Editor-at-Large of Foreign Policy. His new book, "Power, Inc.: The Epic Rivalry Between Big Business and Government and the Reckoning that Lies Ahead" is due out from Farrar, Straus & Giroux on March 1.
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