So, let's take a look at the papers and see how all that
foreign policy is going for us, shall we?
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"As U.S. assesses mission, Karzai is a question
mark" -- here on the front page of the Washington Post is a devastating appraisal
of the state of the U.S. relationship with our man in Kabul, Hamid Karzai. It
features Karzai fulminating to Gen. David Petraeus and Amb. Karl
Eikenberry that in his view he's got three principal "enemies," and that if
forced to choose among them he would take the Taliban over the U.S. and our
international allies.
-
"More Christians are Fleeing Iraq in New Violence" -- in this, the lead story in the New York Times this morning, we learn that, as the
opening paragraph puts it: "A new wave of Iraqi Christians has fled to northern
Iraq or abroad amid a campaign of violence against them and growing fear that
the country's security forces are unable or, more ominously, unwilling to
protect them."
-
In the Financial Times, Dec. 12's pages two and three featured the following
headlines: "Swedes call for calm after bombs," "Racists battle riot police in
Moscow streets," and "Debt refinancing sparks fears of deeper euro crisis."
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The Wall Street Journal features a profile of Umberto
Bossi, the Italian political power broker and ally of besieged Prime Minister
Silvio Berlusconi, who calls immigrants "bingo bongos" and who flipped his
country the bird during the Italian national anthem. The punch line is that
this clown is representative of a resurgence of a European loony right wing
that is giving the United States' anti-immigration nut-jobs a run for their money in the
'let's blame it on the brown people' sweepstakes. Or as the Daily Mail puts it in
their own story on their own right wing hate brigade, The English Defence
League, "they make the Tea Party look like a bunch of left wing liberals."
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The Journal also features an op-ed by one of their own
fringe characters, Mary Anastasia O'Grady, the Americas columnist who still
thinks she's in the jungles of Central America battling commies most of the
time. But this time she puts her finger on yet another place where a vaunted
foreign policy initiative is going awry, Haiti, in a piece entitled "Haiti's
Preval Tries to Steal an Election."
-
Speaking of borderline personality disorder, over at
The Drudge Report, if you skimmed the headlines you were treated to choice
entries like: "NKorea threatens SKorea with nuclear war" and "Iran conducts
large military exercise near Iraq border." Of course they are joined with usual
Drudge international fare which all seems to be oriented how strange and
downright un-American the rest of the world is like: "China's 'City Jade Men'
Indulge in Mud Masks and L'OREAL Creams" and a story about an Iranian man being
blinded with acid in an "eye for an eye" punishment for blinding his lover's
husband.
-
The Guardian features more on WikiLeaks, the
journalistic holiday gift that keeps on giving, allegations of election fraud
in Kosovo and a YouTube video of a Sudanese public flogging of a woman.
- Over at The Independent you get
"Quick Fix Aid Projects Fail to Help Afghans" with an explanatory dek saying, "The
most extraordinary failure of the US-led coalition is that the expenditure of
tens of billions of dollars has had so little impact.
And of course, in all of these,
you get reports of deadly suicide bombings in Afghanistan and Iraq, the
mediocre result at the Cancun climate talks, further turmoil in Mexico, $91 per
barrel oil and a lot of other headlines that should, especially given the
nasty, cold weather gripping much of the United States, have had readers inclined to pull
the covers over their heads and actively considering the merits of hibernation.
But, despite all this and
despite recent polls that show that if the 2012 elections were held today Mitt
Romney might eke out a victory over President Obama, the reality is that over
in the White House, none of these issues fill them with existential anxiety. Similarly,
despite the fact that Afghanistan, Iraq, the Koreas, Iran, and Haiti are all a
mess, you are not likely to see any of them emerge as principle issues for administration critics on the Hill or elsewhere.
Why? Well, you do the math. Which
of these cases if it spins further out of control is likely to have a political
impact in the United States big enough to distract American voters attention
away from their own jobs, wallets and home prices?
My guess is that of all of them,
the most potential dangerous for the political prospects of the president
(which is not to say the most dangerous for say, the rest of the world) is the
potential for a euro meltdown that knocks the world into the feared double dip.
(When has an ice cream metaphor ever been so frightening to so many? Perhaps
not since the last time the words Lorena Bobbitt and "banana split" were used
in the same sentence.) Similarly, if Middle East upheaval or something other
calamity produced a further spike in the price of gas the summer before the
election, that might do the trick.
But that's about it. Otherwise,
on the dashboard of the United States, for the next two years all eyes are going to be
on the jobs gauge and secondarily on the economic growth gauge. This is not
news, of course, but with the world scene looking as it does, we should
remember that when we learned how to drive one of the first things we were
taught is that our eyes really belong out on the wide road ahead and that when
you spend too much time looking down at your instruments you are likely to run
into something unexpected.
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