Posted By David Rothkopf
Thursday, June 24, 2010 - 11:49 AM
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One of the greatest challenges America faces at the
moment is our inability to tell the difference between what makes news and what
really matters.
Not only is this week's "big story" in Washington --
the Rolling
Stone-assisted career suicide of General Stanley McChrystal -- not actually
an important story, it's not even the most important national security story of
the week. It's not even the most important story about a key general quitting
this administration at a vital moment in a badly bungled struggle.
In fact, in the botched coverage of the McChrystal
hullaballoo I see not just one but six degrees of wrong.
- First, we
have had most of the media coverage devoted to the soap opera elements of this
story. The President vs. His Hand-picked Battlefield Commander. The
inviolability of the chain of command vs. McChrystal's perverse compulsion to
bare his soul in a magazine whose cover features Lady Gaga doing
something similar while wielding a couple of deadly weapons in a manner not
recommended in any army training manual. Problem is, of course, this is
superficial personality stuff that pales in comparison to the real story about
Afghanistan.
- That real
story was nailed in a particularly incisive piece by Tom
Friedman in yesterday's New York
Times in which he smartly sidestepped the hubbub that was mesmerizing the
cablerati and pointed out that it doesn't really matter who is in command of
our Afghan folly, our "only real choices are lose early, lose
late, lose big or lose small." If McChrystal and literally
every other senior official involved in the Afghan effort feels making
significant progress will take more time (a decade more) and money (hundreds of
billions more) than the American people or the President or the Congress are
willing to spend then the issue is not who is commanding on the ground but when
they are going to supervise our ignominious withdrawal...and when and how the bad
guys will capitalize on that.
- Of course, in terms of our national
security interests in the Middle East, what happens in Afghanistan is trumped
by what is happens in Pakistan... and that in turn could well be soon trumped by
the consequences of Iran's run at
being a nuclear power. Thus shifting Petraeus from CENTCOM to Afghanistan
reflects what could be seen in retrospect as a politically motivated strategic
misstep - focusing on covering the president's behind on a signature initiative
instead of addressing more significant threats. And the even bigger problem
with the Middle East is our dependence on the region's oil ... and here we have
this amazing reality that there is an oil-related crisis in this country that
could be driving real moves toward reform and all we are getting are
half-hearted, half-steps in the direction of the new energy policy we
desperately need.
- As big as
the story of our political leadership's unwillingness to mount a credible
offensive on the energy front is, even that story of the week is not as
significant in terms of our national security as our continuing unwillingness
to address the debt bomb that lies ticking ominously at the foundation of our
economy. For this reason the really important resignation of the week was not
McChrystal, it was that of budget chief Peter
Orszag. In speaking to senior administration economic officials, whatever
the official story is there seems to be a sense that at least in part the OMB
chief is heading for the exit because he worries that the efforts to confront
the deficit will be postponed or sub-optimal.
- They'll
find someone to run OMB, naturally. It's a little worrisome that the choices
currently being bruited about are talented folks but not specialists in getting
things done on Capitol Hill, which is where the real heavy lifting will be
needed. Proof of that - and of the utter gutless, visionlessness of the
Congressional leadership -- came this week as House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer
announced that they would not seek a budget via traditional channels this year,
suggesting a mid-term election year dodge to avoid having to address the real
issues associated with starting to reduce the threats to America's future
represented by big deficits and even bigger "off balance sheet" and "phantom
balance sheet" real and likely obligations. (See my FT
piece last week on this phenomenon - and in the last category consider that
among other things the Federal government may soon find itself in the position
of having to bail out public pension funds that are currently underfunded to
the tune of something like a trillion dollars. Just to pick one particularly
worrisome illustration as to why this problem is bigger than just the very very
big federal deficit.)
- And if you thought that expecting politicians to
actually lead themselves was too much to ask then all you had to do this week
was to look to the United Kingdom where the fledgling government of David
Cameron had the genuine political courage to introduce
a budget ... after just weeks in office and with a coalition government ... that
proposed 25 percent cuts in British public spending. I was no fan of Cameron
and I am still a skeptic ... but this was a courageous political move that should
be seen by Americans as a sign both of what is possible and what will be
required of whoever genuinely cares about American leadership and national security.
(2)
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