Monday, May 24, 2010 - 6:45 PM

If the graduation speech the president delivered at West Point this weekend was indeed intended -- as it was touted to be -- as a preview of the President's national security strategy, you should be able to find that when it released later this week in the diet section of your supermarket in the section for "Foreign Policy Lite."
Apparently the Obama team still seems to think that defining a policy that is different from George W. Bush's is enough. Or offering pallid echoes of the policies Bill Clinton articulated almost 20 years ago is enough.
By all means, let's have democracy and human rights. Let's practice diplomacy. Let's save those who are less fortunate. Let's have strong international institutions. Hard to argue with any of it, to be sure. However, whomever was the author of the speech seems not to understand the difference between hopes and policies, between what might be nice and what might be possible, between what the public might accept from a candidate and by what the public minimally demands of a president.
This, by the way, is hardly a call for Bush-ism. Quite the contrary, I think the last element of the enormous damage Bush did with his reckless, irresponsible and in several circumstances illegal policies and actions was setting the bar so low for his successors that they can effectively roll out of bed and clear it. But taking a strong stand against unilaterally violating the sovereign borders of another country on the basis of flimsy, fabricated pretexts or boldly opposing torture or the alienation of a billion people on the planet based only on their religious beliefs is not a foreign policy revolution. It is nothing more than returning to our senses.
And of course, as writers at the Times and the Post have noted in summarizing the speech, in several areas even the impossible-to-argue-with core idea of moving away from the policies of George W. Bush offers less than meets the eye with deadlines for withdrawing from the Middle East, goals for shutting down Guantanamo and big talk about less callous disregard of the constitution when it comes to handling terrorists all shifting off into an ever more uncertain future.
The focus on democracy is noble -- but is, as ever, a Potemkin policy that won't stand up to scrutiny. The place where Obama is investing most American lives and dollars, Afghanistan, is a place in which democracy has been deeply compromised and shows no signs of being transformed under our watch. (The only real boldness in the speech was the president's looking West Point graduates in the eye and suggesting that asking them to put their lives on the line in Afghanistan was anything other than an exercise in callous futility.) Elsewhere, Iraqi democracy is deeply flawed. Our critical partners in our various national security undertakings include the likes of non-democratic China, faux-democratic Russia and oppressive states in the Middle East. Indeed, one of the core contradictions in the President's cited priorities is that while we may wish to promote democracy the new partnerships we ought to be fostering will largely be with non-democratic nations.
The president correctly said we need to grow stronger at home to lead in the world. But the administration has fostered burgeoning deficits and has shown precious little impulse beyond the mandatory convening of commissions to actually do the three things that are essential to fixing our problems at home: creating a new source of revenue (a value-added tax), cutting defense spending and cutting entitlement spending. The first test of whether a president is a real leader and truly wants a strong America is how directly he or she addresses these vital needs. Avoiding them is whistling past the graveyard. The lines about innovation at home are starting to ring pretty hollow as comprehensive climate reform looks ever less likely and promises like doubling exports are not actually supported by little things like the remotest semblance of a trade policy.
The president said we need to build international institutions. But what that means is we need to selectively but clearly give up our dominant role in them, be willing to let foreigners make decisions to which we adhere, give the institutions true enforcement capabilities including the ability to commit troops to ensure, for example, that nuclear wannabes don't violate international law. We have made precious little material progress in any of these areas and show little inclination to do so in others. Further, we can't credibly say we're for a strong international system and then vigorously oppose, as this administration has, the kind of strong new multilateral institutions we need to, for example, regulate international financial markets or do too little to support, as this administration has, ones we desperately need like one to protect our shared global environment.
The speech also called for a renewed emphasis on diplomacy. This is what made headlines. This is news? This is an idea? Oh sure, I'm sure Dick Cheney is grumbling in his cave somewhere before biting the head off a baby goat. But suggesting that focusing on diplomacy is anything like an idea is ridiculous. Foreign policy should use every tool available at our disposal from diplomacy to economic leverage to force. The key is using it effectively... and thus far, to pick one example, the administration's most prominent use of diplomacy, the Iran case, is moving too slowly and seems almost certain not to work. The key here is that we don't determine whether diplomacy is the right tool, the other guy has a role in this too and diplomacy without the credible threat of alternatives is just a conversation.
The president has given some great or at least very good speeches in his term of office -- in Cairo, in Prague, in Oslo, for example-that hinted at truly transformational policies. This was not one of them. Further, speeches like this are weakened by the fact that the record shows that Obama to date is willing only to rhetorically embrace major change. The follow up to Cairo has been negligible unless you believe weakening the relationship with Israel is the same as strengthening the relationship with the Muslim world in a meaningful way. (It's not.) The follow up to Prague -- a deal with the Russians to eliminate obsolete and unused warheads and a dog and pony show in Washington that produced no meaningful real progress at fixing our clearly broken and unraveling NPT -- has been similarly undercut by a willingness to let PR exercises suffice in the face of real meaningful efforts.
Want an innovative national security strategy? Start by living up to the promise of the president's earlier speeches rather than his recent penchant for slipping deadlines and dilutive compromises. Then recognize that we are going to have to narrow our ambitions, recognize the implications of our dwindling resources, move away from mid-century paradigms of American hegemony (or early 90s fantasies of same), find true partnerships with partners who are often rivals and often have values different from our own, establish principles wherein the use of force is not squandered on actions which have primarily domestic political goals but is available when needed, cut bureaucracy, cut duplication, recognize changing military paradigms.
America's new seeming embrace of the Predator drone as a manifestation and metaphor for the over-the-horizon, unmanned, white-collar-warfare policies we're comfortable with is shallow and deeply flawed, but at least it recognizes that the nature of warfare is changing in ways our budgets do not.
Unveiling platitudinous doctrines at a time when the country is worried because of foundering signature initiatives in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, Iran and with regard to the international financial situation seems out of touch. That the situation on our border with Mexico and our relations in this hemisphere are, well, heading south... that the big relationships that we need for the future in places like China and India are evolving slowly and fitfully and without, it seems, any real vision... that hotspots like North Korea or with regard to Israel and its neighbors are deteriorating rapidly... all these things suggest that it is time to enter a new phase of Obama administration foreign policy where the focus is more on results (based on a realistic assessment of what's possible) than on aspirational rhetoric. Because right now speeches like this weekend's suggest an ominous course toward what historians may someday ruefully designate "The Era of Good Intentions."
Michael Nagle/Getty Images
Under Obama we've regaining our place in the world
I beg to differ. Obama does not only want us to "return to our senses", he also wants us to reassert our place on the world stage. On the relationship with Israel, he has not weakened the relationship. He simply told the Israelis what no other US president was willing to say. He asked them to halt the construction of settlements, stop fighting and find their way to negotiating table. Before Obama, Israel was continuously intoxicated with American support (without regard to their actions). Obama watches every move and is ready to criticize them every time they do something that sets back negotiations. He also criticizes the Palestinians when they do the same. This even-handed approach is seen by some (including you) as "weakening the relationship with Israel." As for your idea of an "innovative national security strategy," you suggest finding "true partnerships with partners who are often rivals and often have values different from our own." Who are these partners?. Every country is different, with different customs, ambitions, domestic and foreign policy goals. Your blanket statement fails to provide real-world solution to our flawed national security strategy. As for cutting the bureaucracy, every government is inherently a bureaucracy. That will not happen any time soon, if ever. Even the small government proponents(GOPers) have a hard time reconciling that talking point when they are in power. Your simplistic statement on predator drones makes it sound as if President Obama receives a daily intelligence briefing riddled with progress reports about the successes and failures of the various predator drone missions. Our military strategy involves much much more than just predator drones. There are hundreds of thousands of troops deployed in 150 countries around the world. Implementing the national security strategy is a gargantuan undertaking and the predator drone program is just a small part of the strategy. Predator drones are also very unreliable considering their prohibitive cost ($20 million each). Traditional human military intelligence is still the preferred modus operandi.
Your last paragraph is laughable. You must realize that those "platitudinous doctrines" are what get politicians elected. If he had not done that, you would be writing a piece on how he risks isolating the electorate. You want more pointed action on the situations in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, Iran, the Mexican border, China, India, N. Korea and Israel but you offer no wisdom, even anecdotal on how this could be achieved. Obama's foreign policy initiatives have always been based on results; they were never based on undesirable objectives. And finally, whats wrong with good intentions?. I'm actually fine with the idea that historians might refer to the first black presidency as the "Era Of Good Intentions". There is no higher value than maximizing happiness, contentment and joy in people. This cannot be achieved without good intentions.
I would just add that strengthening us at home and positively influencing our foreign policy, in my view, starts (and perhaps even ends) with a realistic energy policy; for some reason, administrations seem to talk a good game on this until they actually have to do something in this area, and then we get the same thin gruel. At this point, I just want someone to try anything, something bold on this, really just try something, the status quo is no good for anyone; if it doesn't work, we'll deal with it; but getting us off foreign oil should be a top priority.
Oh....don't even get me started on how archaic our energy policy is. Our energy policy leaves much to be desired. The largest exporters of crude and petroleum are CANADA, MEXICO and VENEZUELA in that order. The idea that Hugo Chavez is our third largest exporter makes my skin crawl. This guy is a foreign policy nightmare to the US. Others include NIGERIA, SAUDI ARABIA, IRAQ , COLOMBIA , ANGOLA, ALGERIA , UNITED KINGDOM, KUWAIT, RUSSIA, BRAZIL, ECUADOR, CONGO (BRAZZAVILLE), ANGOLA, KUWAIT, BRAZIL, THE VIRGIN ISLANDS and EQUADOR in that order(US Energy Dept). Nigeria, the most populous country in Africa is run by some of the most corrupt tyrants on the face of the earth. All that oil money only benefits less than one half of one percent of the 150 million Nigerians. The money is usually siphoned off to the Swiss bank accounts of Nigerian government officials. The other exporting countries (save for the UK) have their own unique but frighteningly similar problems. We rely on the influence we have over these oil producing countries. Thank God the goal of greedy tyrants is not self-sufficiency. Our energy policy is destroying our planet, creating tyrants, establishing impoverished populations across the globe. Politicians only seem to have one solution: Grants, subsidies, investment and tax incentives. Grants, subsidies and incentives for renewable and non-renewable sources of energy make for a good starting point; unfortunately tweaking the tax code to benefit the rich more is just not a solution. The cap and trade program on the other hand is Obama's wet dream that will never materialize. I'm no energy expert but i know one thing for a fact: none of the ideas that were presented in the previous generation and now in my generation have worked. Nothing is working. From Nixon, to Carter, to Bush Sr., to Clinton, to Bush Jr. and now Obama. They all set ambitious goals and then sat on their behinds (probably waiting for the subsidies and incentives to kick in) and hoping that the private would magically do the right thing. Maybe we need a constitutional amendment.
Bush reads "My Pet Goat" upside down on Sept 11 for 22 minutes
Bush reads "My Pet Goat" upside down on Sept 11 for 22 minutes
And Cheney bites his pet goat in utter Cheney fashion.
Priceless.
http://lalqila.wordpress.com/
I think you circumscribed the pep talk nicely, although that would be Hillary rolling out at 3am to answer the phone. I agree that our new and improved, virtuous and upstanding leadership needs some, well, leadership. Hey He meant well. the prison in Cuba is empty, The boy's are coming home from Iraq in a couple months, We are only fighting bin Laden and his al Qaeda bunch, Were leading the way in alternative energy with the millions of created jobs. Were no longer dependent on dictator led countries like China and Saudi Arabia. The world watches our positive direction in climate change, waste and pollution management. Hey Americans ! " It's all about You, it's Your turn"
Yes " Under Obama we've regaining our place in the world" and I think that Bush was more focused on the little girl and what she was saying than reading the book on 9/11. and now to go see if Cheney has any of that goat left.
20 years after the end of the cold war it is time to reevaluate American goals and interest in the world. We can not afford to continue to pay 1/3 of our budget to support the military-industrial complex to fight non essential wars. Europe has for 60 years been able to spend on their "socialist welfare state" (early retirement, long vacations, health care) because they weren't spending on a war machine. They relied on the US for their defense, the same for Japan and S. Korea industrial build up.
Why is it that we must get involved in every time some tin pot dictator kills his own people, or there is a coup somewhere. It is time to tell our "allies" they need to prepare for their own defense. If the Saudi's, the Egyptians, the Israeli's, even the Europeans are upset that Iran is going nuclear then let them solve it. If the Israeli question can be solved peacefully then it is more in their interest to solve it than ours. And we are not a fair broker anyway. If North and South Korea can't settle anything short of war then let them have at. Our only interest there was in keeping the dominoes from falling, that is not going to happen now.
Yes we need a strong military capable of fighting anywhere in the world with overwhelming power. But as the name on the building says it should be a Defense Department. Defend OUR interest but not to take on other peoples battles.
The military idustrial complex is here to stay
You have some good ideas. Unfortunately for you, those good ideas will never see the light of day. The military industrial complex is here to stay. The US is the greatest, strongest and most influential world power of all time. We have tentacles in every corner of the world. Unfortunately, this is the only sure way to retain all the "overwhelming power" that we have amassed. We go around the world poking and prodding constantly, to ensure that we have as much influence as possible. When America talks, the world listens. The idea that we would suddenly be willing to give this up is a little naive.
let's keep holding Obama to high standards
David Rothkopf is the CEO and Editor-at-Large of Foreign Policy. His new book, "Power, Inc.: The Epic Rivalry Between Big Business and Government and the Reckoning that Lies Ahead" is due out from Farrar, Straus & Giroux on March 1.
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