Posted By David Rothkopf Share

It's starting to be that time of administration again. We're into the second year of the term. The campaign high has worn off. The honeymoon has been over for months and months. The "blame it on my predecessor" free pass has expired. The "learning curve" excuses are wearing thin.

It's time to be president, to own your government and to take responsibility for whatever happens on your watch.

Which means it's officially time to start figuring out who to can

As it happens, round about the middle of the second year, early appointees who managed to get confirmed by the Senate start to go. Some are burned out. Some are starting to realize that most government jobs are not remotely as glamorous as they seem from the outside. Most bureaucracies are dull, grey and full of lifers who fall into two categories: the few, inspiring dedicated public servants upon whose shoulders the weight of governing a great nation sits ... and a bunch of hopeless drones who have lucked into jobs from which they can never be fired. (You know who you are. You're the ones reaching for the keyboard and getting ready to post an indignant comment about how the Constitution requires us to hire people who couldn't be an assistant manager in a 7/11 and give them some modicum of responsibility for the welfare of millions.)

Then, starting now as a whispers and insider buzz and then building to a crescendo in the weeks after this coming November's elections, we'll hear the names of those who need to move on for political reasons, to help the president regain his footing.  You know, the scapegoats.

A few folks have already come and gone, of course. White House Counsel Greg Craig is one, victim of a stealthy court assassination worthy of the Borgias. White House green jobs czar Van Jones was Glenn Becked into submission. 

Other names are already emerging as favorites for 2010 exits. National Security Advisor Jim Jones has been producing "he's got to go" buzz even from his colleagues in the White House almost since he arrived.  It ebbed for a while, but it's back. This is due in part because of the one-two punch provided by two of his deputies. One, Denis McDonough, never actually acted as though he reported to Jones, remaining in his campaign role as a close personal aide to the president...a fatal structural error the President has imprudently allowed to fester. (And he's not the first to suffer this problem.) The other, Tom Donilon, has been so exceptionally effective that he gets the credit when the national security process runs well rather than having it accrue to his boss ... and, as a consequence, he too is now seen as closer to the President than Jones.

Currently producing the kind of should-he-stay-or-should-he-go-now chorus that would make any fan of The Clash proud is a man who has made clashes his stock-in-trade, Rahm Emanuel. Some say he is thinking of running for Mayor of Chicago -- although the foul-mouthed and intemperate Rahm seems far too refined and "clean" a politician to make it in Illinois Democratic politics. (To soak in the full sludge, read up on the recent flame out of the just-selected Illinois democratic candidate for lieutenant governor, Scott Cohen. After winning the primary for his party's nomination, he was pressured by his running mate to drop out because Cohen, who made his millions a pawn broker, was a roid-using, deadbeat Dad accused of beating his ex-wife and a hooker ex-girlfriend he got to know at a massage parlor. And this is the guy who won the race...)

Others who get mentioned frequently are Tim Geithner, whose fate will turn on whether unemployment starts to fall and whether the U.S. can, as he has promised, hang on to its AAA rating and keep the dollar from truly tanking, USTR Ron Kirk who may go down in history despite his earnest best efforts as the least productive occupant ever in that job (which is saying something), any number of the czars who arrived with much ballyhoo but who are having a rough time delivering, and maybe Bob Gates, which would be a shame, given the great job he has been doing. Others you have never heard of will also go...in some cases, because you have never heard of them.

This happens in every administration. And by "this" I mean the speculation and ultimately the departures. It is not a sign of calamity at the top.  It's a sign of life in Washington. That said, the critiques implied by recent stories (if you can read only one, go back to the great piece by Ed Luce in the FT last week on the four members of Obama's inner circle) that argue that it is now time for the president to move from "campaign mode to governing mode" and to relax the tight grip his inner circle have on governing, are absolutely dead-on and need to be heeded. If Obama knew the people who were the sources of the many stories that are appearing in the press on this point, he would take them much more seriously.

But I would like to offer a contrarian view.  I would like to suggest that while some churn is inevitable, it is premature to be calling out the White House, Rahm Emanuel, or anyone on the time for failures at governance. Could Rahm & Co. be more strategic, less tactical, less deferential to the Hill, less reactive?  Of course. But consider this: If the Senate had passed every bill the House has already passed and the President had signed into law major healthcare reform and major climate and energy legislation (to pick just two items caught in the Senate logjam), Obama and his team would be hailed for the best opening year since Roosevelt.

In other words, the one place most in need of a personnel change is not in the White House or even in the executive branch, it is in the Senate Democratic Leadership. Harry Reid had a 10 vote majority and he couldn't get anything done. The one switcheroo Obama should be focusing on is right there in the Majority Leader's office. Harry Reid, who is facing a tough re-election challenge, may be a great guy with an inspiring personal story but the proof is in the pudding and in his case, the pudding is really a stale dog's breakfast of excuses, back-peddling, and inability to control his own party. 

Two things will be required to fix this. First, Reid must be replaced. And while the likely next-in-line Dick Durbin is a favorite throughout the party (despite also hailing from the swamp of Illinois politics), this is not a job that needs another nice guy.  Searching for the kind of strong leadership Obama knows he needs, it may be time to satisfy the exceptional ambition of Durbin's DC roommate, Chuck Schumer. He's the only one with a shot at becoming a Lyndon Johnson-like, master of the Senate. But, he will only be able to do that -- and remember he's likely to have much less majority than Reid has to play with -- with the active, risk-taking, leaderly support of the president himself. That's a one-two punch that might get something done ... and it really is the one personnel issue that should be getting the most attention in DC circles these days.

Mark Wilson/Getty Images

 

ZATHRAS

4:53 PM ET

February 9, 2010

I actually agree with this

With the second half of it, anyway. Harry Reid is the kind of Majority Leader who can be pushed around, unless the Senators doing the pushing are threatening something important to Harry Reid. That won't get him reelected, but it has helped make him less effective.

Reid's not a wimp. He's the biggest single reason, for example, that talk of expanding the nuclear power industry in the United States is just talk. You can't have more nuclear power unless you have a repository for nuclear waste; the one we built, at a cost of billions, is in Nevada; it will never open as long as Reid is in the Senate. No one can call Reid a pushover where Yucca Mountain is concerned.

Health care reform, or other major national legislation important to the Obama administration, is another story. Reid not the only reason Democrats haven't made the most of their current majority, but he's been Majority Leader long enough to show the best he's got. Democrats would be wise, even if Reid does get reelected this year, to give someone else a chance.

As to the White House staff, well, I'd make some of the changes some people have suggested if I were in President Obama's place. I'm not. That's the trick here, because it really isn't because of David Axelrod or Rahm Emannuel that the leadership of this administration often seems as if it is more comfortable campaigning than governing. That kind of orientation can only come from the very top.

Obama himself has devoted far more time and effort in his professional life to being a successful candidate than he has to succeeding in government (something that incidentally was also true of the two men who preceeded him in the White House early in their own administrations, as well as of his two rivals for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2008). That has consequences, and we're seeing some of them now.

 

TEMPLETON PECK

2:28 AM ET

February 14, 2010

Huh?

Well I guess governing for 12 years on the state level could be considered governing experience because that is what WJC did before assuming the presidency. Are you saying he didn't succeed in government? So his reward was the presidency? Sorry Zathras but pay attention.

 

BOREDWELL

6:55 PM ET

February 9, 2010

successful candidates

don't especially make for successful presidents. Or House majority leaders. Certainly in the rough and tumble of politics these individuals, Obama and Reid, must have learned some survival strategies! They don't, however, appear to be exercising them. The president has been faltering for awhile now hopscotching from one plan to the next leaving Rahm, Reid and Geithner to tie up the loose ends of each. Despite Rahmbo's notoriety as dragon slayer, his affinity for whip and tongue lashing has proved meddlesome rather than mettlesome. Reid can't even count heads, impotent to restrain the blue dogs from severing the majority's body. Geithner seemed a poor choice from the get-go. He wears the air of one perennially dazed and confused. Combined, their continued presence on board has contributed to the public perception of adminstrative inertia in the oval office. Replacing this trio may not be a panacea but it will signal that change is in the ear. Oh, an what about Larry Summers? He should be on the short list, too.

 

OYUN OYNA

9:41 PM ET

February 9, 2010

successful

Health care reform, or other major national legislation important to the Obama administration, is another story. Reid not the only reason Democrats haven't made the most of their current majority, but he's been oyun oyna Majority Leader long enough to show the best he's got. Democrats would be wise, even if Reid does get reelected this year, to give someone else a chance.

 

OYUN OYNA

9:43 PM ET

February 9, 2010

 

OYUN OYNA

9:42 PM ET

February 9, 2010

 

NAVYSEALINTEL

12:35 AM ET

February 10, 2010

White House Departures

One that was missed and came as surprise was the first NSC Chief of Staff, Mark Lippert. He went back to his USNAVRES job...sounds like that was not calling, but rather a falling...maybe a falling out with his boss (Did he recognize Jones as his boss? Maybe that was the problem)...lots of rumors so I am suspicious of his hastened exit.

 

NOWEWILLNOT

3:05 PM ET

February 10, 2010

Going to waste

The only change urgently in need is that one of President, and barring that, of the Speaker and Majority Leader. Eric Cantor, for example, would make a great Speaker. And Paul Ryan, too.

How naive can one be to expect success from forcing policies on the unwilling populace?

The problems of this administration are not tactical. They are deeply strategical: what kind of America do we want? An exceptional and providential society or another formerly Great Britain?

 

DEB FERRELL-LYNN

3:37 PM ET

February 10, 2010

Dumping Reid

This problem cannot be corrected by Reid's departure (if it can be corrected at all). Putting a brass-knuckles partisan like Chuck Schumer at the front of the Senate Democrats IS a recipe for added failure because people are not just rejecting Obama's / Democrats' policies...they are rejecting the Chicago-style tactics in the White House and the arrogant superiority complex of House and Senate Democrat leadership. This is a systemic problem that isn't going to be fixed easily or quickly, if at all. As long as the majority of powerful politicos in D.C. seek power for their own benefit, the Administration's failures will continue. People are disenchanted with this Administration (not me...I always knew it was smoke and mirrors with a snake-oil salesman at the lead) and do not want to see another 3 years of rookie mistakes and serious overreaching by people who consider themselves superior to the rest of the nation. Dumping Harry Reid to save Obama's agenda is like taking cough drop to combat TB.

 

NDFULLER

3:44 PM ET

February 10, 2010

Change is defintely coming

The voters will make this happen (Reid out) but it won't help Obama. Luce was right in his piece - these guys are great at campaigning but a bust at governing. And why is that? Because they haven't every governed anything larger than a Senate staff. And the other Dems in the primary knew and even said this (including now the now VP) but hoped against hope (pun intended) that things would work out when he got elected.

Reid did that best he could with a bad hand. No leadership from the Prez beyond vague and vacillating (and ultimately ineffective) speeches and totally unrealistic ultra-left pressure from Prime Minister Pelosi.

This whole episode shows the genius of the Founders once again. Major changes in direction take a consensus, not a bare majority. For those who don't like the filibuster now - would they like it a bit more if the GOP is back in the majority and wants to privatize social security, repeal the executive order allowing government workers to unionize, etc.???

The next 2 1/2 years are going to be fun to watch.

 

KWO

7:05 PM ET

February 10, 2010

Best opening year since Roosevelt?

"If the Senate had passed every bill the House has already passed and the President had signed into law major healthcare reform and major climate and energy legislation (to pick just two items caught in the Senate logjam), Obama and his team would be hailed for the best opening year since Roosevelt."

This is fatuous. It's like saying "If the Colts had scored more touchdowns than the Saints, they would have won the NFL Championship."

The real issue is why Democrats weren't able to push HCR or cap-and-trade through the Senate. Is it because Reid's incompetent? Maybe. But note that Pelosi was only barely able to push HCR through the House, where Democrats enjoy a clear majority.

Further, it suggests that had the President signed an HCR law, Democrats would not have suffered defeat in Massachusetts (and maybe not in Virginia or NJ). That seems like a stretch to me.

 

NOWEWILLNOT

7:16 PM ET

February 10, 2010

Why can't you get it?

Americans simply don't want your "change". Leave us alone.

 

CMR2323

7:47 PM ET

February 10, 2010

Chuck Schummer??

If you are suggesting Chuck Schumer. You are either a liberal freak and Jewish, or you know nothing about New York Politics or it's politicians.
Chuck Schumer is a scumbag, plain and simple. This man has been a large reason our state continues to grow it's debt, raise is expenditures, see citizens leave to Connecticut, and hand over control of the government to Unions, who do nothing but see to it that their members can live off other people starting at age 50, (for a job that frankly isn't to impressive). He wasn't even talented enough to get NY paid off for a healthcare vote. Chuck Schumer is an talentless, arrogant, self-important, condescending jerk, and since i was raised in Scarsdale, I know all about it.
Chuck Schumer?? You are a moron.

And as for the password requirements on this website. Give me a break, this isn't the Pentagon. low, medium, high? include an uppercase letter, a punctuation mark, and a number... Get a life. No one cares what anyone's Foriegn Policy magazine account says. Waste of time. Only my hatred for Scumbag, I mean Senator Schummer made me actually go back three times to meet your "password standard requirements" .
Hey Foriegn Policy magazine...Get over yourselves.

 

TEMPLETON PECK

2:34 AM ET

February 14, 2010

Moron

Hey CMR2323 I hate to descend to your level but did you even complete high school? Sorry bud but you come across as a grade A moron who can't spell. How did you even navigate to this website? Hit the road pal.

 

David Rothkopf is the CEO and Editor-at-Large of Foreign Policy. His new book, "Power, Inc.: The Epic Rivalry Between Big Business and Government and the Reckoning that Lies Ahead" is due out from Farrar, Straus & Giroux on March 1.

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