Monday, January 11, 2010 - 11:51 PM

U.S. national security is too important to be left to foreign policy specialists, the media or politicians. These are the clear lessons of the Post-Underpants Bomber Era.
Before Christmas and the disturbing revelations of a man setting his balls on fire on a Northwest Airlines flight from Amsterdam to Detroit (rendering himself only slightly more uncomfortable than those flying economy class), there was at least a feeling that America was regaining her senses following the 8 hysterical years of the so-called War on Terror.
But within hours of the bungled terror attempt, we saw once again America's true vulnerabilities. And while they are linked to intelligence failures, it is not the ones on which the media and the president's political opponents have focused that are most salient.
Obama's reaction to the junkbomber incident was precisely right and just what you want from a leader: Dispassionate, thoughtful, and calculated. He gave his team the time to assess the threat, the breaches and the right next steps to take. At least one person in the United States, Barack Obama, seemed to recognize that the objective of terrorism is to promote terror and sought to defuse that effort by handling the threat with the proportionality and common sense that has long been missing from U.S. counterterrorism strategy.
But almost immediately, the foreign policy establishment -- acting with the acuity and purity of motives of Tila Tequila squeezing a few extra minutes of undeserved fame out of the untimely death of her "fiancé" Casey Johnson -- whipped itself up into a critical lather. Why? Because it was good for America or because it was in their own self-interest?
I'll leave you to work that out on your own, but here are a few clues:
First, we have seen very few such attempted attacks carried to the stage of that of the underpants bomber in the last decade. Second, we have been successful in foiling many such attacks -- successes for which those responsible get little credit. Third, the attempt revealed as much about the genuine and enduring weaknesses of even terrorists affiliated with major league terror operations like al Qaeda as it did about our own counter-terror efforts. Fourth, terrorism by definition is only successful if it produces "terror" -- the kind of hysterical over-reaction we are once again seeing -- yet this fact does not seem to have resulted in very many critics toning down their hysteria or shrillness. (The Republican Party has the collective cool on these matters of Prissy helping to birth Melanie's baby in Gone With the Wind. As for the media, given that the "news" networks probably devoted more live news coverage to the balloon boy hoax than were devoted to say, the invasion of Normandy, you recognize that they are actually in the business of emotional over-reaction. In fact, their constant refrain that every event is an earth-shattering pinnacle of human experience that could well be the biggest thing they have ever seen suggests they have more in common with folks in say, Ashley Dupre's line of work than that of, say, a journalist.)
Most important, however, is that within days of what may go down on record as the world's first and last attempt at plastic explosive-assisted self-circumcision, news stories kept popping up that underscored the fact that the terror attack paled in significance for those concerned with America's future to other concurrent global developments. To begin with, the intelligence failures involved were not even the biggest problem of the week for the intelligence community given the devastating blow to some of our most senior field operatives in Afghanistan.
But the biggest threats to U.S. leadership and security ... to our very ability to protect ourselves at home and abroad ... manifested themselves in other stories that have simply not gotten sufficient attention among the accusations and inflammations of the holiday season terror frenzy. Like unemployment staying at 10 percent. Or, over the weekend, like China passing Germany as the world's largest exporter. Or like the fact that our impending health care bill will still not actually fix the financial threats to our system posed by grotesquely under-funded health care liabilities. Or like the fact that the world is far away from solving the biggest security problems it faces from stabilizing Pakistan to stopping Iran's nuclear program (and thus the WMD proliferation that poses the one great terror threat) to reversing climate change or addressing resource disparities that will trigger many of the wars of the century ahead. (It is worth noting that for America today ... the greatest threats to the nation's future well-being don't involve things that explode ... always the favored topic of foreign policy elites ... but rather things that are imploding ... like our economy, about which most big time foreign policy specialists haven't a clue.)
If one terrorist can in one failed attempt distract America from addressing priorities and will almost certainly lead to further billions and billions being misdirected to the global whackamole game of trying to snuff out the geopolitical pipsqueaks who lead international terror networks it explains more about why terrorists will keep trying than any in-depth analysis of the conditions on the ground in terror-prone regions.
Thus, what this incident really reminds us is, terrorists only have the power we give them. And that the emotional, the shrill, the over-the-top, the self-promoters, the hyper-political, and the other tummlers responsible for the inside-the-beltway mob mentality are as complicit in the spread of terror as those who are too soft on it. If the president's rhetoric was slightly too weak for some tastes, he erred in the direction that also weakens our enemies rather than, as did his most vocal critics, the direction that turns operational failures like the one on Christmas Day into strategic successes for the bad guys.
P.S. I'd like to add that not only is the over-the-top nature of the terrorism debate of late done damage to U.S. interests, the appropriate response is not only not more spending, more programs, more rules ... but that complimenting the moderate response would actually be improvements to our anti-terror efforts all of which would actually be in the direction of narrowing, focusing and spending less. For example, want to improve Intel sharing? Let's start with getting rid of the Directorate of National Intelligence, a legacy of Bush's big government response to 9/11, that amounts to precisely the opposite of what we need: an additional layer of thousands of bureaucrats who actually do not enhance (apparently) our analytical capacity and undoubtedly reduce communications efficiency. The Central Intelligence Agency was created to do all the coordinating the DNI does and easily could do it again if sufficiently empowered? Want another step to improve our intel sharing? How about reducing and eliminating many of the unnecessary levels of information classification that make it impossible for policy makers to actually have access to all the information they need to make decisions? Want another? Heed the advice of former advisor to Dwight Eisenhower General Andrew Goodpaster, who laughed to me during our last intel "crisis" after 9/11 that Eisenhower would have had no patience with it because he knew -- from bitter experience during World War II -- that intelligence can be useful but expectations must be set at the right level. It was always an imperfect tool and one that could not be perfected. Want another? Let's get out of the unwinnable mess in Afghanistan and focus some of those resources on directly targeting terrorists, some on better tools for early warning and the rest on the domestic needs that are actually essential to maintaining long-term U.S. strength. I could go on. But it is clear ... when it comes to responding to terror, the lesson of the past decade is that we need to think a lot harder about proportionality and the unintended consequences of our understandable horror and outrage.
Mark Wilson/Getty Images
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Thanks for another great belly laugh!
Rothkopf is right about intel snafus
I contend that George W. Bush did a huge disservice to the American intelligence community by foisting off, not one, but two disasterous managerial reorganizations.
The Directorate of National Intelligence may have as its mission the coordination of the disparate elements of the national intelligence community, but it has a long way to go before it fills that mission. The problems in coordinating the information of the underwear bomber highlights the fact that yet another bureaucratic superstructure on top of the existing bureaucratic superstructure of American intel has done nothing to streamline the process, and may have actually complicated the process from the old days when this was the responsibility of the CIA.
This is not to say that the DNI doesn't have potential. But given the way that American government bureaucracies work, it will take many years and a very dynamic leader to meld the DNI into a truly well functioning operation. Posters in other parts of FP have already highlighted the problems that the DNI faces -- how senior managers have to have as many as five different computers to handle the more than 20 intranets of incompatible information in order to coordinate operations.
One of the solutions to better organizational efficiency in this area is to have round robin groups of bureaucrats from disparate intelligence agencies meet on a regular basis, developing trust and freely exchanging information with an eye towards streamlining decisionmaking. And this needs to be done at multiple levels of the bureaucracy, not just at the top or the bottom. Unfortunately, this procedure goes against the grain of much of standard operating procedures within the agencies. But multiple round robin committees with the power to actually solve problems must be widely adopted if the DNI and the rest of the intel community is to live up to its potential.
The other intelligence reorganization fubar in my opinion is the Department of Homeland Security, which I call the orphaned red-headed stepchild of the intelligence community. There's nothing like combining the corporate culture of the Secret Service, DEA, Customs, and the Coast Guard (and more!) into one big dysfunctional family. This assorted grab bag of intelligence fruits and nuts is guaranteed to be an organizational nightmare, and the head of DHS can't possibly make enough money, given the nature of her job.
I am much more pessimistic about the prospects for DHS than I am for DNI. It's conceivable that some charismatic administrator like J. Edgar Hoover could reshape the DHS to his own image, but does American democracy really want or need this?
And how afraid underwear bombers are we anyway? One thing we know is -- that terrorism is a gravy train for private contractors and subcontractors. And this situation doesn't make the goal of producing reliable intelligence any easier. But that is a different story.
The U.S.: the nervous nellies of international affairs
Speaking as an American here, it amazes me how absolutely terrified so many of my fellow countryfolk are of men with exploding underwear. I don't mean to downplay the very real threat that terrorists present; I do mean to put it in proper perspective, though.
All we've done in response to 9/11 and everything afterward is march in lock-step to al Qaeda's bidding. We've dramatically narrowed the scope of our individual privacy and liberties; we've thrown more than $1 trillion of our money and the lives of, what, 4,000 our soldiers away (to say nothing of the many who come back physically or mentally disabled). We worry about the impossibility of a caliphate coming to America, yet we're happy to give away those "threatened" liberties to the real threat here now, our own government.
Our media are completely complicit in all this. The 24-hour news churn ensures that feverish talking heads will assess and re-assess our ever-inadequate security, whose goal (I can only assume) is to never let anything bad happen anywhere, ever, for any reason (since "everywhere" is now part of our "national interest.").
It's worse than embarrassing. And both parties are responsible for this mess.
Geez, I hate elite scum! All of this is trivial with the open eugenic programs,and flushing of our Economy! Bring all the Troops home from Afghanistan and Iraq! Destroy the FED! Destroy the FED! The Franklin scandel and bohemian Grove sum up our leadership the last 40+ yrs! The singularity of man and machine is the ENDGAME! Us useless eaters want to have Arkansas or New Mexico! Your Egos are RAD! I hope BAAL rewards you well ! Kissinger and Rockefeller are my heroes, at least they dont hide their disdain for the sheeple! No no, I want to make moonshine and pick my butt! Please your importance to yourselves is a no brainer! Keep HAARP alive we need more Weather Modification! I love Football and my Girlfriend love SOAPS like were supposed to! I watch american Idol and buy new things! Wasnt that great! Mother Earth needs taken care of, Mikhail Gorbechov and Maurice Strong say so! What an Inconveniant Truth! The Chicago Climate Exchange has nothing to do with Obamas stance on Global warming! And nothing neffarious goes on at Bilderberg,CFR,or Club of RomE! I shall love my servitude! We are Between to Ages and we need Elite leadership!"We are grateful to the Washington Post, The New York Times, Time
Magazine and other great publications whose directors have attended
our meetings and respected their promises of discretion for almost
forty years."
"It would have been impossible for us to develop our plan for the world
if we had been subjected to the lights of publicity during those years.
But, the world is now more sophisticated and prepared to march towards a
world government. The supranational sovereignty of an intellectual elite
and world bankers is surely preferable to the national
auto-determination practiced in past centuries." Thank You Lords
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David Rothkopf is the CEO and Editor-at-Large of Foreign Policy. His new book, "Power, Inc.: The Epic Rivalry Between Big Business and Government and the Reckoning that Lies Ahead" is due out from Farrar, Straus & Giroux on March 1.
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