Thursday, October 15, 2009 - 10:08 PM

Secretary of State Clinton went to Russia to discuss the possibility of putting sanctions on Iran. The Russians pushed back hard and publicly. The State Department weakly responded that they hadn't come to Moscow looking for anything in the first place.
The Iranians taunt us with their open nuclear ambitions and we don't have much to credibly offer in the way of sanctions (see above) and so we find ourselves grasping at straws in terms of an international dialogue with them. We are forced to take proven liars at their word because there is no realistic Plan B.
The North Koreans do as the Iranians do. They taunt knowing there will be no meaningful retaliation, especially if they dangle the possibility of progress with negotiations even as they flaunt the spirit of those negotiations.
Our ally in Afghanistan bald-facedly steals an election because he knows he has us over a barrel, believing we need him more than he needs us and that in any event, we won't punish him for his indiscretions. Our reaction is grumbling and strong language and planning for him to remain in his misappropriated office.
On Afghan policy there is an all-in, all-out debate and it increasingly looks like the president will split the difference between both sides. David Ignatius writes in today's Washington Post:
Obama's deliberative pace is either heartening or maddening, depending on your perspective. Personally, I think he's wise to take his time on an issue in which it's so hard to know the right answer. But I worry that the White House approach will soften the edges so much that the policy itself will be fuzzy and doomed to failure.
On the Hill, again the difference is split on health care and the Baucus plan backed by the administration doesn't meaningfully address the core concerns that triggered the debate about health care reform in the first place -- issues like universal coverage or the need to substantially reduce health care spending or the need to get the books to balance.
During the G20 meeting in Pittsburgh, at a lunch as the meeting drew to a close, the Chinese walked in and demanded that a paragraph in the final statement on climate change be cut. Everyone in the room was gobsmacked and stopped eating while the Chinese representative blithely consumed his lunch. One of those present asked, "Where were the Americans? Why was there no pushback? The Europeans were furious."
Peter Feaver wrote for FP an article chiding Hillary Clinton for not having taken a bold stance, making an issue her own thus far. Quite apart from the fact that I think his analysis was faulty, the reality is that the tough stances come from above, the president is the one who draws the lines in the sand. As far as decisive administration's policies are concerned, the title of her book on the subject might read, It Takes a President.
Right now, even his strongest supporters -- and I count myself among them -- are worried that much as Abe Lincoln was the great rail splitter, Barack Obama may become known as the great difference splitter. A former senior official, active on the president's campaign sat in my office just yesterday worrying aloud about whether this is just learning curve behavior or whether we are drifting toward Jimmy II. There is a place for deliberation and compromise in the quivers of wise leaders, he argued, but there is also a need to be decisive and sometimes to push to fulfill a vision or defend an ideal or an interest.
There are real merits to being the no-drama Obama of campaign fame. But in a world in which the Chinese or the Iranians or the North Koreans or Republicans or wings of the Democratic Party are inclined to push as hard as they can until they meet real resistance, it's fast coming time for the president to show he is willing to lose some friends and even some battles to defend his principles or the national interest. It can be a fist of steel in a velvet glove, resolve born of reflection, but there are a lot of supporters of Obama worry that he is a man who sending a message that there are no consequences for crossing him. On Afghanistan, on health care reconciliation, on his upcoming trip to China, on climate, there are chances looming for him to show that he knows what he wants and that he is willing to fight for it. I'm hopeful this is the moment he really will start to come into his own as president.
It was recently reported that Obama's favorite phrase is "Let me be clear." I think the response to that of his concerned supporters would be, "Please do." It's the path that is most likely to have them once again singing, "Mild thing, I think I love you."
JEWEL SAMAD/AFP/Getty Images
Alright seriously people. I can agree with criticism of the president, there are several areas that I have to disagree with the man as well. But to compare him to Carter? He hasn't even been in office for a year and you're comparing his presidency to Carter's?
...it's way too early for comparisons like that. I wasn't really comparing, per se. I was merely reporting a concern that nags (in an incipient way) in some (older) Democrats. Not me. I'm not that old. And frankly I'm more optimistic about the President than that.
in which you make across-the-board sweeping judgments of the administration's testicular fortitude are your worst contributions to discourse. Setting aside your continuous beatification of Hillary Clinton, these attempts to marshall widely divergent policy areas into large-scale character attacks on the president and the administration (except Mrs. Clinton) just don't stand up as serious analysis. It causes my opinion of this site to plummet (, editors).
On the matter of Sec. Clinton, it is difficult to say whether she is being muzzled or restrained, but regardless, I think Mr. Feaver is clearly on to something. In my view, this president absolutely must widen the scope discussions in the foreign affairs realm, to include Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran, the Middle East, and to a lesser extent Russia and the issue of the rise of Asia, in the form of a comprehensive vision for a new doctrine of American national security to displace and replace the not-yet-clearly-rejected Bush Doctrine. It is my hope and guess that this speech is being prepared as we speak, to be presented in major campaign in the coming weeks. This is the context in which in my view the Afghanistan question must be addressed to the American people. This new doctrine plainly must have a diplomatic as well as military, intelligence, law-enforcement, and development components, but for that, the president must have confidence that the diplomatic arm of the strategy can be fully supported by a figure of undoubted capability, stature, and motivation. Mr. Feaver's impression that Secretary Clinton has been to some extent picking around the edges of the major foreign questions, choosing those areas of primary interest to her, is of key importance then in this analysis. I don't think there is any question that his view is the correct one. As I mentioned, the question is what the reason for this is. My guess is that to some extent there has been a tacit mutual understanding that the major policies early on needed to be established with fairly tight control by those around the president. We discussed this here i believe, and agreed that over time the president would have to empower his principal cabinet officials. Well, now is that time. Whatever the president's decision on Afghan policy, it has to be rolled out in a comprehensive plan for U.S. security in the 21st century, and the president must rely for the implementation of the diplomatic component of that plan on an empowered Secretary of State. To whatever extent he has not empowered her in major foreign policy questions, he now must, and to whatever extent she has preferred to pick issues of greatest interest to her or on which she has felt she can have the greatest impact, she must now focus on moving in step with the administration as a fully integrated part of a comprehensive strategy (ie no more State-Dept.-centric visions for new approaches to American diplomacy). If these adjustments cannot be made (even if because of his own shortcomings), then the president must bring in a leader at State who can perform the vital task of integrating diplomacy into the security posture of the United States in a real, constructive way going forward. What we have seen so far needs to evolve considerably one way or the other.
If this doesn't happen, we may be looking at a presidency that could only hope to be compared to that of Mr. Carter. For the moment, though, I find such determinedly despairing (or is it concern-trolling?) warnings as you repeatedly issue, reaching for any and every strand of policy to construct narratives suggesting utter incompetence, weakness, or irresolution and calling into question this president's very character at a quite early date (though always with the assurance, "I'm his biggest fan, honest!") to be completely unhelpful, unserious as analysis, and just generally increasingly ridiculous.
not as bad as some have been. I'm sure you think I'm nuts. But there have been many like this. Bottom line, you're questioning either the president's machismo, or his commitment to protecting American interests against the encroaching foreign menace. I find the suggestion that any president doesn't approach these issues with the mix of smarts and fortitude that he (or she) finds correct to be offensive. My fear is for what actions a president might take once an insidious line of criticism such as this on fundamental character/manliness/commitment to American well-being gets into his head.
Sometimes what it takes is to look at the truth on the ground and face it for what it is even if it means you have to stand down. That is real testicular fortitude. I know many women who do it all the time. Maybe there is a reason Hilary is where she is.
On the issues you mention, I find no reason for the President to be more muscular, testicular or dramatic. We should not bluff where we have no real cards to play, and, on some issues, we need to stand down so others can step up, or, at least, stop thinking they can just leave every problem for the US to solve. We are strong, but not omnipotent, and our finances call for some retrenchment.
Bingo, Dave Porter!
THANK YOU EXACTLY! Sometimes you can only go so far out into the desert people! That's is how many a battle has been lost. So why fight something you can't win. It is not a worthwhile battle.
Misread a comment, ignore this response please.
Maybe you want Obama to be more like LBJ?
I said this before he took office, he will be another Jimmy Carter.
It is not the mild that made me think that, it was the way he wanted to fix everything that you end up fixing nothing.
Lets face it, there is a reason Senators aren't elected as President, they never were in charge of anything before and you have to be able to run something in the past to run the country now.
Maybe the issue is it has become time for our foreign policy to truly evolve out of the cowboy and indians mentality. Subtletly, cultural sensitivey, a deeper understanding of history and what may have lead to past mistakes is what is definitely needed here and sometimes a line in the sand is NOT what is needed. But looking at history we may not want to follow into the dessert either, but ratther let them wander and come back. Things just aren't black and white and sometimes one side has to change in order for the other side to make a move. Maybe the American People chose Obama because they see it is time for a change and part of that is understanding that yes sometimes things are complex and you have to take one step back to take two steps forward. Sometimes things ARE jsut complex and rather than just trying to simplify things for the American People, the American people need to rise to understand those complexities. I think Obama is doing his best to help get us there and yes sometimes he underestimates how far we as a people need to go. If the other side is caught in some sort of game of Machismo then maybe the way forward it to just not play that game anymore but to follow a new path. New ways make people uncomfortable because it is different and it is very easy to predict failure on past similiar events and miss the differences in the current situation at hand. It is time to EVOLVE our foreing policy not just rely on the old standby arguments. That is why I have always liked Foreign Policy because I have seen efforts to present both sides which can lead to a better way that incorporates the best of both sides of an issue. keep up the good work! We need these forums more than ever!
"We are forced to take proven liars at their word because there is no realistic Plan B." Yea, so don't forget Israel and all the illegal settlements and the fantatical illegal settler squatters who terrorize, burn, and kill the Palestinaians.
When will Obama hold Israel to the same standards that Israel is demanding of Iran and anyone else who threatens Israel's hegemonic agenda?
When will Obama do something? Take a stand, put his foot down, something?
I agree, we voted for change, where is it?
Yes, he's been a disaster, but it all comes down to the economy. With a broken economy, it's far harder to be assertive in any policy area, including foreign. We've lost 4 million jobs in just his first year, and he's been unable to do anything but make it worse. And his only solution seems to be to borrow more money from the Chinese. As I've said before, he doomed his presidency with his first major bill: You can't borrow a trillion dollars, call it stimulus, and then have it do nothing to stimulate the economy. It's too bad, because we'll probably never know what kind of president he could have been, had he not made this initial mistake that overshadows everything.
Please! It's been 9 MONTHS!! Can we all take a deep breath? This isn't a TV reality show.The Jimmy Carter allusions are way premature. BTW, the stimulus bill was a GOOD thing. The analysts say it added 3 points to the GDP.
"The Iranians taunt us with their open nuclear ambitions and we don't have much to credibly offer in the way of sanctions (see above) and so we find ourselves grasping at straws in terms of an international dialogue with them."
Israel and the AIPAC driven fear mongering that is allowed to happen in the US media are the ones trumpeting the so called Iran threat.
Iran is not threat to the US. The Iran issue is 100% Israeli created.
When Iranian nukes are mentioned the double standard with Israel should be immedietly pointed out.
Israel pre-emptively invades their neighbors and is the unstable, belligerent, aggressive, apartheid force in the Middle East.
Demonizing and warmongering Iran to protect Israel is wrong. Again, the Iranian 'issue' is 100% Israeli.
Unlike Iran, Israel simply has way too much to hide and wants to keep it that way.
When is Israel going to sign the NNPT and allow IAEA inspections ? Which Iran has done.
The US and Israel want Iraninan nuclear transparency? Then Israel better be just as transparent.
Silence about Israelis nuclear weapons and lack of membership to the NPT while maintaining such harsh rhetoric towards Iran's nuclear program, which is legally allowed to enrich uranium as a NPT member is an example of the kind of outright double standard BS that the United States has been following in its foreign policy.
When will Obama hold Israel to the same standards that Israel is demanding of Iran and anyone else who threatens Israel's hegemonic agenda? Level the nuclear playing field or get rid of it.
It is in line with Israeli rhetoric to demonize Iran. It takes the focus off them and it’s their intention to agitate elsewhere so the world does not focus on their ulterior hegemonic motives.
Let's not forget, whatever Israel accuses another country of doing you can bet they themselves have already done it.
To wit, Mordecai Vanunu provided info and photos to the London Sunday Times in 1986 about Dimona.
During the Kennedy years,Israel allowed American nuke scientists to make ‘visits’ to Dimona but these proved to be so ineffective they were eventually discontinued.
When the scientists were allowed into the plant they were rushed through and never allowed to see what they needed to see to confirm that Israel was not developing nuclear weapons.
Of course, a full inspection of the Dimona plant would have revealed that this was exactly what Israel was doing.
Tel Aviv needs to be dealt with before Tehran.
It is telling that President Ford, in 1976, encouraged Iran (then under the US-backed shah) to build both uranium enrichment as well as plutonium processing plants. How is it that what was permissible then under the 1970 NPT, has now become forbidden – under the very same treaty?
Because Israel wants nuclear monopoly in the Middle East even as it breaks international law with impunity and no consequences.
Ahmadinejad is not liked in Tel Aviv because of his strong criticism of the long and brutal Israeli occupation of the Palestinian territories.
Ahmadinejad has repeatedly called for a democratic one-state solution for the Middle East conflict, which means that Israel as a "colonial entity" or a "racist sate" will be "wiped off the map" and replaced by a state where Jews and Arabs live side by side peacefully and equally.
But Israeli officials and their media pundits, like you, kept misquoting the Iranian president, who has recently suggested that he even accepted the two-state solution, if it brings justice to all Palestinians.
After wiping Palestine off the map, Israel currently occupies the Palestinian West Bank and East Jerusalem; the Lebanese Shabaa Farms and the Syrian Golan Heights.
Israel will not even deny or admit to its truly "clandestine" nuclear program. If you want to talk about nuclear ambiguity, look to Israel.
Much of Iran's willingness to divulge its civilian nuclear program has been exactly that--Iran willingly, and not by any requirement of the NPT, to disclose its nuclear activities.
Why has Iran crossed the supposed rubicon of trust? Because it is not an ally of the U.S. or Israel.
Because it may give a terrorist organization a nuclear weapon? These are ignorant and essentialist views that do not stand up to the facts. It's not Iran that preemptively invades, threatens, taunts, and warmongers their neighbors. That's Israel.
A country surrounded by neighbors who have all gone to war with it at once, who have brazenly violated peace treaties and attacked on religious holidays, and who have explicitly sworn that they want to exterminate its population or drive it into the sea, is probably _entitled_ to a regional nuclear monopoly. At least from my perspective.
What they're doing in the Middle East is a good question (I think it was someone here on Foreign Policy who observed that if the Israelis can remember their homes from the age of Titus and Vespasian, surely the Palestinians can be permitted to remember their homes from the age of Harry Truman), but we should take that up with Hitler.
right on David! Good article. Time will show - let's hear the left.
It feels like the administration has allowed the right-wing bullshit machine to punch itself out a bit on the health-care issue. People who initially went for the "death panels" and "they're gonna kill grandma" nonsense have taken a step back. Support is growing as more and more of the anti-reform arguments fail to hold water (see AHIP's latest attempt). This is not to say that the same technique will work with the Middle East or the climate or other important issues. But if Obama can get meaningful HC reform -- especially if it contains a real public option -- after a hundred years' worth of presidents have failed -- then he's no Jimmy II. And maybe we'll find that he's smart as a fox on other issues as well.
And furthermore, I hate it when you try to lure in readers with provocative titles/headlines like "JIMMY II?". All you're doing is giving the RWNM the opportunity to go, "Look! Look! Foreign Policy Mag says Obama's a weak president like Jimmy Carter! Told ya so!!"
Which serves no purpose.
The problem with this article is its key presumption. It suggests that Pres. Obama merely needs to defend his principles strongly and he'll be all right.
Identify for me, please, what those principles are? Other than the shopworn manias of a standard-issue liberal -- the same legislative and regulatory wealth transfers, favor-granting to labor, the-end-is-near environmentalism, simpering can't-we-all-get-along internationalism, unlimited healthcare/wage and job security for all paid for and secured by "the government" (read: other people whose vote you don't need)?
On Iran? On Afghanistan? Iraq? Russia? China? S. America? Heck, let's talk closer to home -- on energy policy? healthcare? education? finance-industry reform?
"... he knows what he wants and that he is willing to fight for it"?
That's the problem. He is the accidental president, thrust forward by our exhaustion with someone else, and not up to the job in nearly any respect.
If there is one thing both the Left and the Right agree on, Obama is showing weakness. He is showing weakness to foreign adversaries, and to domestic "sharks" in Congress. Ralph Nader just did a short video on Yahoo's Tech Ticker where he portrayed Obama as weak and disappointing. We can afford to have a President that displays weakness to congressional sharks, but we can not afford to have a President getting rolled by Russia, Iran, the EU, China, and every other real foreign power. Obama had better start grasping the reality that the world is ruled by "the agressive use of force", and there isn't much time before real disaster results from excessive weakness.
Why is everyone's brain locking up
About Honduras?
A teacher once reccomended I read Mr. Rothkopf because I think he tought was a hopeless bleeding heart liberal based on our classroom discussions of curent events. Which I kind of am....He probably thought I wanted to be a social worker. He laughed when I told him my intended major was business (which I think is a kind of social work actually). Maybe it is time to stop thinking in terms of left and right and instead look at what is in front of us.
Also let's face it, the headline and pictures were clearly instigators in the push back seen in the feedback. Excellent example of how media can never be neutral despite our best intentions. Let's be honest and take some responsibility here....
David Rothkopf is the CEO and Editor-at-Large of Foreign Policy. His new book, "Power, Inc.: The Epic Rivalry Between Big Business and Government and the Reckoning that Lies Ahead" is due out from Farrar, Straus & Giroux on March 1.
Read More
(27)
HIDE COMMENTS LOGIN OR REGISTER REPORT ABUSE